Models and Determinants of International Tourism Demand

perspectives from the Systematic Literature Review for the period 2000-2020

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.7784/rbtur.v16.2478

Keywords:

Tourism Economics, Tourism Demand, Systematic Literature Review, Tourism Demand Model, Determinants of Tourism Demand

Abstract

Understanding the evolution process of methodologies and the use of variables that explain tourism demand has been a relevant concern in the specialized literature. Some bibliometric studies sought to understand this evolution process: Johnson and Ashworth (1990); Li, Song and Witt (2005) and Song, Qui and Park (2019). Most of these studies have focused on discussing the evolution and efficiency of the models used in the analysis and forecasting of demand, paying little attention to the variables. This article contributes to this discussion, evaluating the relationship between the models used in the literature and variables used in the analysis of tourism demand. For this, a bibliometric study was carried out in the main international research bases: Web of Science, Redalyc, Scielo, Spell and Publicações de Turismo, between 2000 and 2020 (March) seeking to answer two questions: 1. Is there any relationship between the selection of models and the set of variables used in the analysis of tourism demand? 2. Are there any trends in using new variables? The study found that, regardless of the model used, the variable number of arrivals has been more used to represent tourism demand. It was also observed that the independent variables income, price and exchange rate were the most used and that there is a tendency to incorporate new variables

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Author Biographies

Isabela Lima Pinheiro da Camara, Universidade Estadual do Paraná (UNESPAR) campus de Campo Mourão, PR, Brasil.

Professora no Colegiado de Turismo e Meio Ambiente da Universidade Estadual do Paraná (UNESPAR) campus de Campo Mourão. Mestre em Turismo pela Universidade Federal Fluminense (PPGTUR-UFF) realizado com bolsa CAPES (2019). Bacharel em Turismo pela Universidade Federal Fluminense (2016). Contribuições: Concepção da pesquisa, revisão da literatura, coleta de dados, análise de dados e discussão.

João Evangelista Dias Monteiro, Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF), Niteroi, RJ, Brasil.

PhD in Economics from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Professor at the School of Tourism and Hospitality, Fluminense Federal University (UFF), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. His current research interests involve topics concerning Tourism Economics. Director of School of Tourism and Hospitality at UFF and coordinator of the Tourism Observatory at Universidade Federal Fluminense.

Osiris Marques, Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF), Niteroi, RJ, Brasil.

Associate Professor at the School of Tourism and Hospitality, Fluminense Federal University (UFF), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. He holds a PhD in Economics at the Economics Institute of the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro/Brazil (UFRJ). He is the administrative director of the Brazilian Association for Tourism Research and Post-Graduate Studies (ANPTUR). His current research interests involve topics concerning behavioural economics applied to tourism and tourism economics.

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Published

2022-02-18

How to Cite

Camara, I. L. P. da, Monteiro, J., & Marques, O. (2022). Models and Determinants of International Tourism Demand: perspectives from the Systematic Literature Review for the period 2000-2020. Revista Brasileira De Pesquisa Em Turismo, 16, 2478. https://doi.org/10.7784/rbtur.v16.2478

Issue

Vol. 16 (2022)

Section

Articles - Tourism Management

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