A interdependência produtiva das atividades turísticas no Brasil
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.7784/rbtur.v18.2886Palavras-chave:
Turismo, Insumo-Produto, Extração Hipotética, Análise de Decomposição EstruturalResumo
Este artigo analisa os encadeamentos produtivos das Atividades Características do Turismo na economia brasileira e decompõe a variação do produto dessas atividades em mudanças tecnológicas e efeitos de demanda final. Para tanto, foram utilizados os métodos de extração hipotética e decomposição estrutural baseados nas matrizes brasileiras de insumo-produto de 2010 e 2015. Os principais resultados mostram que a ausência de atividades turísticas causaria uma redução de 0,83% na produção total da economia brasileira e os impactos causados pela retirada das estruturas de compra e venda destas atividades foram relativamente baixos, o que pode ser parcialmente explicado pelo fato das atividades turísticas estarem orientadas para a demanda final. Além disso, as variações na produção das atividades turísticas são predominantemente explicadas pelo comportamento da demanda final, com impacto reduzido do progresso técnico. O consumo das famílias e as exportações foram os que mais contribuíram para as variações do produto.
Downloads
Referências
Archer, B. (1995). Importance of tourism for the economy of Bermuda. Annals of Tourism Research, 22(4), 918-930. https://doi.org/10.1016/0160-7383(95)00018-1
Archer, B., & Fletcher, J. (1996). The economic impact of tourism in the Seychelles. Annals of Tourism Research, 23(1), 32-47. https://doi.org/10.1016/0160-7383(95)00041-0
Atan, S., & Arslanturk, Y. (2012). Tourism and economic growth nexus: an input output analysis in turkey. Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, 62, 952-956. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.09.162
Brazil. (2019). Basic Tourism Statistics Brazil – Base Year 2018. Ministry of Tourism, Brasília. http://dadosefatos.turismo.gov.br/images/demanda/Estatisticas_Basicas_2017_2018.pdf
Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics - IBGE. (2018). Input-output matrix: BraZil: 2015. Rio de Janeiro: IBGE (Coordination of National Accounts). https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/full-list-statistics/16940-input-output-matrix.html?edicao=22017
Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics - IBGE. (2012). Tourism economics: a macroeconomic perspective 2003-2009. Rio de Janeiro: IBGE (Coordination of National Accounts).
Cai, M. (2016). Greenhouse gas emissions from tourist activities in South Tyrol. Tourism Economics, 22(6), 1301-1314. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354816616669008
Capone, F., & Boix, R. (2008). Sources of growth and competitiveness of local tourist production systems: An applica-tion to Italy (1991–2001), Annals of Regional Science, 1(42), 209–224. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-007-0133-7
Carter, A. P. (1970). Structural Change in the American Economy. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Casimiro Filho, & Guilhoto, J. J. M. (2003). Input-output matrix for the Brazilian tourist economy: construction and analysis of intersectoral relationships. Economic analysis, 21(40), 227-263. https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2410386
Chóliz, J. S., & Duarte, R. (2006). The effect of structural change on the self-reliance and interdependence of aggre-gate sectors: The case of Spain, 1980-1994. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 17(1), 27-45. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2004.11.002
Dietzenbacher, E., & Los, B. (1998). Structural decomposition techniques: sense and sensitivity. Economic Systems Research, 10(4), 307-323. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535319800000023
Fletcher, J. E. (1989). Input-Output analysis and tourism impact studie. Annals of Tourism Research, 16, 514-529. https://doi.org/10.1016/0160-7383(89)90006-6
Frechtling, D. C., & Horváth, E. (1999). Estimating the Multiplier Effects of Tourism Expenditures on a Local Economy through a Regional Input-Output Model. Journal of Travel Research, 37(4), 324-332. https://doi.org/10.1177/004728759903700402
Guilhoto, J. J. M., & Oliveira, A. F., Grameiro, A. H. et al. (2001). Methodological notes on the construction of the input-output matrix for the Brazilian economy for 1999. Piracicaba: DEAS/ESALQ/USP, (Activities Report).
Gonçalves, S. C.C., Faria, P. C. D., & Horta, P. A. T. (2020). Methodology for Measuring Activities Characteristics of Tourism: an application for Brazil and Federation Units. Brazilian Tourism Magazine, 14 (3), 89-108. https://doi.org/10.7784/rbtur.v14i3.1908
Haddad, E. A., Porsse, A. A., & Rabahy, W. A. (2013). Domestic tourism and regional inequality in Brazil. Tourism Eco-nomics: The Business and Finance of Tourism and Recreation, 19(1), 173-186. https://doi.org/10.5367/te.2013.0185
Hoekstra, R., & Van Den Bergh, J.C.J.M. (2002). Structural decomposition analysis of physical flows in the economy. Environmental and Resources Economics, 23, 357-378. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1021234216845
Khoshkhoo, M. H. I., Alizadeh, V., & Pratt, S. (2017). The economic contribution of tourism in Iran: an input-output approach. Tourism Analysis, 22(3), 435-441. https://doi.org/10.3727/108354217X14955605216168
Lenzen, M., Sun, Y.Y., Faturay, F. et al. (2018). The carbon footprint of global tourism. Nature Climate Change, 8, 522–528. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0141-x
Miller, R. E., & Blair, P. D. (2009). Input-output analysis: foundations and extensions. 2th ed. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Moreira, T. M., & Ribeiro, L. C. S. (2013). Structural changes in the Brazilian economy between 2000 and 2005 and the new macroeconomic regime: a multisectoral approach. Economy (Brasília), 14(1C), 751-780. https://www.iioa.org/conferences/20th/papers/files/953_20120525101_MoraeseRibeiro,2012.pdf
Mosedale, J. (2006). Tourism commodity chains: market entry and its effects on St Lucia. Current Issues in Tourism, 9(4-5), 436-458. https://doi.org/10.2167/cit271.0
Munjal, P. (2018). The Impact of Presence and Hypothetical Absence of Tourism in Indian Economy. In: Mukhopadh-yay, K. (eds) Applications of the Input-Output Framework. Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-1507-7_5
Oosterhaven, J., & Tianhu, F. (2006). Impact of International Tourism on Chinese Economy. Internacional Journal of Tourism Research, 8, 347-354. https://doi.org/10.1002/jtr.582
Pedauga, L. E., Pardo-Fanjul, A., Redondo, J. C., & Izquierdo, J. M. (2022). Assessing the economic contribution of sports tourism events: A regional social accounting matrix analysis approach. Tourism Economics, 28(3), 599-620. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354816620975656
Rabahy, A. (2000). Analysis and perspectives of tourism in Brazil. Brazilian Journal of Tourism Research, 14(1). https://doi.org/10.7784/rbtur.v14i1.1903
Ribeiro, L. C. S., Andrade, J. R. L., & Pereira, R. M. (2013). Estimation of the economic benefits of Prodetur Nacional in Sergipe. Northeast Economic Magazine, 44(4), 975-1000. https://doi.org/10.61673/ren.2013.399
Ribeiro, L. C. S., Andrade, J. R. L., & Possas, G. M. (2014). Economic impacts of tourist spending in Sergipe and its collateral effects in the rest of Brazil. Estudios y Perspectivas en Turismo, 23(3), 447- 466. http://www.scielo.org.ar/img/revistas/eypt/v23n3/html/v23n3a02.htm
Ribeiro, L. C. S., & Lopes, T. H. C. R. (2015). Characteristics and similarities of cultural industries in brazilin cities and metropolitan regions Contemporary Economics Magazine, 19(2), 307-3030. https://doi.org/10.1590/198055271926
Ribeiro, L. C. S., Santos, G. F., Cerqueira, R. B., Souza, K. B. (2021). Do income policy mitigate the economic impacts of Covid-19 on tourism in Brazil? Economics Bulletin, 41(4): 2574-2579. http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2021/Volume41/EB-21-V41-I4-P222.pdf
Ribeiro, L. C. S., Santos, G. F., & Takasago, M. (2022). Does domestic tourism reduce regional inequalities in Brazil? Current Issues in Tourism. 26(20), 3255–3260. https://doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2022.2126965
Ribeiro, L. C. S., Silva, E. O. V., Andrade, J. R. L., & Souza, K. B. (2017) Tourism and regional development in the Brazil-ian Northeast. Tourism Economics, 23(3), 717-727. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354816616652752
Romero, I, Tejada, P (2011). A multi-level approach to the study of production chains in the tourism sector. Tourism Management, 32, 297-306. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2010.02.006
Sakowski, M. P. A. (2013). Aspectos metodológicos do sistema de informações sobre o mercado de trabalho no setor de turismo. Texto para discussão, IPEA, 1842, 1-66. https://repositorio.ipea.gov.br/handle/11058/1280
Santos, F. R., Ribeiro, L. C. S., & Silveira, E. J. G. (2018). Characteristics of tourism activities in Brazilian municipalities in 2015. Brazilian Journal of Tourism Research, 12(2), 65-82. https://doi.org/10.7784/rbtur.v12i2.1419
Sistema de Informações sobre o Mercado de Trabalho no Setor Turismo - SIMT. Instituto de pesquisa e economia aplicada - IPEA. www.ipea.gov.br/extrator/simt.html
Sousa Filho, J. F., Santos, G. F., & Ribeiro, L. C. S. (2021). Structural changes in the Brazilian economy: 1990–2015. Economic Systems Research, 33(4), 555-575. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2020.1802234
Souza, P. I. A., Silveira Neto, R. M., & Guilhoto, J. J. M. (2015). The tourism sector in the Northeast region: measures and impact based on the interregional input-output matrix. In: 43° National Economics Meeting, Florianópo-lis.
Strasser, G. (1968). Zur bestimmung strategischer sektoren mithilfe von Input-Output-Modellen. Jahrbücher für Na-tionalökonomie und Statistik/ Jornal of Economics and Statistic, 182(3), 211-215. https://doi.org/10.1515/jbnst-1968-0114
Surugiu, C. (2009). The economic impact of tourism. An input-output analysis. Romanian Journal of Economics, 28 (2). https://ideas.repec.org/a/ine/journl/v2y2009i38p142-161.html
Takasago, M., & Mollo, M. L. (2011). The potential generator of growth, income and employment of tourism in the Federal District – Brazil. Tourism in Analysis, 22(2), 445-469. https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1830545
Takasago, M., & Mollo, M. L. (2010). The input-output matrix and the economic importance of activities characteristic of tourism and tourism in Brazil. Tourism and Development Magazine, 1(13/14), 137-149. https://doi.org/10.34624/rtd.v1i13/14.13571
United Nations. (2008). System of National Accounts. https://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/docs/SNA2008.pdf
Viotti, E. B. (2002). National learning systems: A new approach on technological change in late industrializing econo-mies and evidences from the cases of Brazil and South Korea. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 69, 653–680. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1625(01)00167-6
West, G., & Gamage, A. (2001). Macro effects of tourism in Victoria, Australia: a nonlinear input-output approach. Journal of Travel Research, 40(1), 101-109. https://doi.org/10.1177/004728750104000113
World Travel and Tourism Council - WTTC. (2020). Global Economic impact & Trends 2020. https://wttc.org/Research/Economic-Impact
World Travel and Tourism Council - WTTC. (2020). EIR Global Economic Impact from COVID-19 Infographic. https://wttc.org/Research/Economic-Impact
Downloads
Publicado
Como Citar
Edição
Seção
Licença
Copyright (c) 2024 Fernanda Rodrigues dos Santos, Luiz Carlos de Santana Ribeiro , Milene Takasago
Este trabalho está licenciado sob uma licença Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Autores que publicam nesta revista concordam com os seguintes termos:
a. Autores mantém os direitos autorais e concedem à revista o direito de primeira publicação, com o trabalho simultaneamente licenciado sob a Licença Pública Creative Commons Atribuição 4.0 Internacional (CC BY 4.0) que permite o compartilhamento do trabalho com reconhecimento da autoria e publicação inicial nesta revista.
b. Autores têm autorização para assumir contratos adicionais separadamente, para distribuição não-exclusiva da versão do trabalho publicada nesta revista (ex.: publicar em repositório institucional ou como capítulo de livro), com reconhecimento de autoria e publicação inicial nesta revista.
c. Autores têm permissão e são estimulados a publicar e distribuir seu trabalho online (ex.: em repositórios institucionais ou na sua página pessoal) a qualquer ponto antes ou durante o processo editorial, já que isso pode gerar alterações produtivas, bem como aumentar o impacto e a citação do trabalho publicado (Veja O Efeito do Acesso Livre).
