Determinants of visitation in natural parks

a systematic review and proposal for an integrated framework

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.7784/rbtur.v20.3407

Keywords:

Tourism in protected areas, Visitation in natural parks, Determinants of visitation, Park attractiveness, Integrated framework

Abstract

Understanding the factors that influence visitor flow variation in natural parks is essential to improving the management of these territories and strengthening their economic, environmental, and social performance. This study aimed to identify the determinants of visitation in natural parks through a systematic review of the literature in articles indexed in the Web of Science and Scopus databases, following the SPAR-4-SLR protocol for data collection, organisation, extraction and analysis. The review identified about 300 factors, later synthesised into twelve dimensions, grouped into three categories: internal determinants (natural characteristics of the park, climate, infrastructure and services supporting visitation in the park, trails and attractions in the park), external determinants (access to the park, socioeconomic characteristics of the surrounding area, infrastructure and services supporting visitation in the surrounding area and alternative protected areas), and cross-cutting determinants (park management, park visibility, and demand characteristics). These dimensions comprise an integrated framework that offers a strategic view of the elements that shape visitation in natural parks. The results have practical implications, including a framework-guided flow of actions, and discuss gaps, limitations, and directions for future research, contributing to the advancement of knowledge about natural park management and planning.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Érika Sayuri Koga, Universidade de São Paulo

Doutoranda em Turismo (EACH-USP), Mestre em Hospitalidade (UAM), MBA de Gestão Empresarial (FGV), Bacharel em Turismo (ECA-USP) e Tecnóloga em Hotelaria (Senac). Professora de Gestão de Turismo e coordenadora projetos de extensão, ensino e pesquisa (IFSP-SP). Pesquisadora do Grupo de Estudos e Pesquisas em Turismo (GEPTUR-IFSP) e do Núcleo de Pesquisa em Economia e Administração do Turismo (NEAT-USP). Áreas de pesquisa: ecoturismo, turismo em áreas protegidas e experiências memoráveis. Contribuições: Conceituação, Curadoria de dados, Análise formal, Investigação, Metodologia, Administração do projeto, Recursos, Software, Supervisão, Validação, Visualização, Redação do manuscrito original, Redação - revisão e edição.

Ewerton Monti, Universidade de São Paulo

Doutorando, Mestre (2025) e Bacharel em Turismo (2005) pela Universidade de São Paulo. Mestre em Gestão e Planejamento do Turismo pela Universidad de Alicante, Espanha (2011). Especialista em Economia de Negócios pela EESP/FGV (2016). Pesquisa e tem experiência profissional em economia do turismo, pesquisa de mercado, avaliação de políticas públicas, planejamento e gestão do turismo e educação em turismo. Contribuições: Conceituação, Curadoria de dados, Análise formal, Investigação, Metodologia, Administração do projeto, Recursos, Software, Validação, Visualização, Redação do manuscrito original, Redação - revisão e edição.

Grislayne Guedes Lopes da Silva, Instituto de Estudos Avançados da Universidade de São Paulo

Graduação em Turismo (ECA-USP) e Ecoturismo e Turismo de Aventura (Universidade Anhembi Morumbi). Especialização em Gestão Ambiental e Geoprocessamento (SENAC). MBA em Gestão de Projetos (ESALQ-USP). Mestrado e Doutorado em Turismo (EACH-USP). Pós-Doutorado pelo Instituto de Estudos Avançados (IEA-USP). Pesquisadora, consultora e palestrante nas áreas de turismo, meio ambiente e políticas públicas, com foco em planejamento territorial, desenvolvimento sustentável, monitoramento e avaliação, análise de parcerias e políticas públicas em áreas protegidas. Contribuições: Curadoria de dados, Análise formal, Investigação, Recursos, Software, Validação, Visualização, Redação do manuscrito original, Redação - revisão e edição.

References

Alger, J. (2023). The Political Economy of Protected Area Designations: Commercial Interests in Conservation Policy. Global Environmental Politics, 23(2), 54-73. https://doi.org/10.1162/glep_a_00690

Andrade, E. B., & Vieites, Y. (2025). Obstacles and opportunities for sustainable consumption: A comprehensive con-ceptual model, literature review, and research agenda. Journal of Consumer Psychology, v. 35(4), 637-662. https://doi.org/10.1002/jcpy.70003

Brasil. (2025). Lei nº 15.180, de 25 de julho de 2025: Institui a Política Nacional de Incentivo à Visitação a Unida-des de Conservação e autoriza o Instituto Chico Mendes de Conservação da Biodiversidade (ICMBio) [...]. https://www.planalto.gov.br/ccivil_03/_ato2023-2026/2025/lei/l15180.htm

Balmford A., Green J. M. H., Anderson, M., Beresford J., Huang C., Naidoo, R., Walpole, M., & Manica, A. (2015). Walk on the Wild Side: Estimating the Global Magnitude of Visits to Protected Areas. PLoS Biology, 13(2), 1-6. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.1002074

Baum, J., Cumming, G. S., & De Vos, A. (2017). Understanding Spatial Variation in the Drivers of Nature-based Tour-ism and Their Influence on the Sustainability of Private Land Conservation. Ecological Economics, 140, 225-234. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.05.005

Bhalla, P., Bhattacharya, P., Areendran, G., & Krishna, R. (2022). Ecotourism spatio-temporal models to identify visita-tion patterns across the Indian Himalayan Region. GeoJournal, 87, 1777-1792. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-020-10336-8

Castro, E. V., Souza, T. B., & Thapa, B. (2015). Determinants of tourism attractiveness in the national parks of Brazil. Parks, 21(2), 51-62. https://doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.CH.2014.PARKS-21-2EVDC.en

Chung, M. G., Dietz, T., & Liu, J. (2018). Global relationships between biodiversity and nature-based tourism in pro-tected areas. Ecosystem Services, 34, 11-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.09.004

Clark, D., Ukert, B., Urroz, J., Ward, C., & Kondo, M. (2020). Predictors of Return Visits to Trails with Self-Guided Mate-rials for Children. Journal of Park and Recreation Administration, 38(2), 45-61. https://doi.org/10.18666/JPRA-2019-9591

De Vos, A., Cumming, G. S., Moore, C. A., Maciejewski, K., & Duckworth, G. (2016). The relevance of spatial variation in ecotourism attributes for the economic sustainability of protected areas. Ecosphere, 7(2), 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.1207

Garcia, A., & Smith, J. R. (2013). Factors influencing human visitation of southern California rocky intertidal ecosys-tems. Ocean & Coastal Management, 73, 44-53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2012.12.006

Hadwen, W. L., Arthington, A. H., Boon, P. I., Taylor, B., & Fellows, C. S. (2011). Do Climatic or Institutional Factors Drive Seasonal Patterns of Tourism Visitation to Protected Areas across Diverse Climate Zones in Eastern Austral-ia? Tourism Geographies, 13(2), 187–208. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616688.2011.569568

Hausmann, A., Toivonen, T., Heikinheimo, V., Tenkanen, H., Slotow, R., & Di Minin, E. (2017). Social media reveal that charismatic species are not the main attractor of ecotourists to sub-Saharan protected areas. Scientific Re-ports, 7(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-00858-6

Heagney, E. C., Rose, J. M., Ardeshiri, A., & Kovac, M. (2018). Optimising recreation services from protected areas – Understanding the role of natural values, built infrastructure and contextual factors. Ecosystem Services, 31, 358-370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.10.007

Jedd, T. M., Hayes, M. J., Carrillo, C. M., Haigh, T., Chizinski, C. J., & Swigart, J. (2018). Measuring park visitation vul-nerability to climate extremes in U.S. Rockies National Parks tourism. Tourism Geographies, 20(2), 224–249. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616688.2017.1377283

Koga, E. S., Monti, E., Batista, F. de M., & Feitosa, P. H. A. (2025). Socioeconomic impacts of concessions for visitor support services in protected areas: matching and difference-in-differences analysis. Current Issues in Tour-ism, 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2025.2493230

Li, L., Du, Q., Ren, F., Huang, L., Voda, M., & Ning, P. (2023). Geolocated social media data for measuring park visita-tion in Shenzhen, China. Urban Forestry & Urban Greening, 88, 128069. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ufug.2023.128069

Mandić, A., & McCool, S. F. (2022). A critical review and assessment of the last 15 years of experience design re-search in a nature-based tourism context. Journal of Ecotourism, 22(1), 208-235. https://doi.org/10.1080/14724049.2022.2099877

Manley, K., & Egoh, B. N. (2022). Mapping and modeling the impact of climate change on recreational ecosystem services using machine learning and big data. Environmental Research Letters, 17, 054025. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac65a3

McIntosh, C. R., & Wilmot, N. (2011). An Empirical Study of the Influences of Recreational Park Visitation: The Case of US National Park Service Sites. Tourism Economics, 17(2), 425-435. https://doi.org/10.5367/te.2011.0036

Neuvonen, M., Pouta, E., Puustinen, J., & Sievänen, T. (2010). Visits to national parks: Effects of park characteristics and spatial demand. Journal for Nature Conservation, 18(3), 224-229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jnc.2009.10.003

Norman, P., & Pickering, C. M. (2019). Factors influencing park popularity for mountain bikers, walkers and runners as indicated by social media route data. Journal of Environmental Management, 249, 109413. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109413

Oliveira, A. C. R., Santos, G. E. de O., & Santos Lobo, H. A. (2021). Environmental Attitudes and Tourist Satisfaction in Overloaded Natural Protected Areas. Journal of Travel Research, 60(8), 1667-1676. https://doi.org/10.1177/0047287520957419

Paul, J., & Menzies, J. (2023). Developing classic systematic literature reviews to advance knowledge: Dos and don’ts. European Management Journal, 41(6), 815–820. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.emj.2023.11.006

Paul, J., Lim, W. M., O’Cass, A., Hao, A. W., & Bresciani, S. (2021). Scientific procedures and rationales for systematic literature reviews (SPAR-4-SLR). International Journal of Consumer Studies, 45(4), 01-16. https://doi.org/10.1111/ijcs.12695

Puustinen, J., Pouta, E., Neuvonen, M., & Sievänen, T. (2009). Visits to national parks and the provision of natural and man-made recreation and tourism resources. Journal of Ecotourism, 8(1), 18-31. https://doi.org/10.1080/14724040802283210

Ribeiro, T. D. L. S., Costa, B. K., Ferreira, M. P., & Freire, O. B. D. L. (2023). Value co-creation in tourism and hospitality: A systematic literature review. European Management Journal, 41(6), 985–999. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.emj.2022.12.001

Silva, G. G. L. da, & Raimundo, S. (2021). Modelos de concessão de serviços em Parques Nacionais brasileiros. Tu-rismo e Sociedade, 14(2), 42-62. https://doi.org/10.5380/ts.v14i2.77618

Smith, J. W., Wilkins, E., Gayle, R., & Lamborn, C. C. (2018). Climate and visitation to Utah’s ‘Mighty 5’ national parks. Tourism Geographies, 20(2), 250–272. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616688.2018.1437767

Souza, T. do V. S. B., Thapa, B., & Castro, E. V. de (2017). Índice de atratividade turística das Unidades de Conserva-ção Brasileiras. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.30254.02884

Spenceley, A., Snyman, S., & Eagles, P. (2017). Guidelines for tourism partnerships and concessions for protected areas: Generating sustainable revenues for conservation and development. Report to the Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity and IUCN.

Wang, L., Wang, G., Hou, X., Chen, Z., & Lu, K. (2022). Attractiveness index of national marine parks: A study on na-tional marine parks in coastal areas of East China Sea. Open Geosciences, 14(1), 393-403. https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2022-0364

Weststrate, D. K., Chhen, A., Mezzini, S., Safford, K., & Noonan, M. J. (2025). How climate change and population growth will shape attendance and human-wildlife interactions at British Columbia parks. Journal of Sustaina-ble Tourism, 33(2), 318–332. https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2024.2331228

Wichman, C. J. (2024). Social media influences National Park visitation. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. (PNAS), 121(15), 3-11. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2310417121

Xiao, X., Perry, E., Manning, R., Krymkowski, D., Valliere, W., & Reigner, N. (2017). Effects of Transportation on Ra-cial/Ethnic Diversity of National Park Visitors, Leisure Sciences, 39(2), 126-143. https://doi.org/10.1080/01490400.2016.1151846

Published

2026-08-28

How to Cite

Koga, Érika S., Monti, E., & Silva, G. G. L. da. (2026). Determinants of visitation in natural parks: a systematic review and proposal for an integrated framework. Revista Brasileira De Pesquisa Em Turismo, 20, 3407. https://doi.org/10.7784/rbtur.v20.3407

Issue

Section

Literature Reviews